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Archive for the ‘Rants’ Category

Why you can not to use statistics to dispute magic

December 10th, 2011 No comments

It is a subtle point that statistical modeling is different than model based science. However, empirical scientists seem to go out of their way to conflate the two before the public (as statistical modeling is easier to perform and model based science is more highly rewarded). It is often claimed that model based science is being done when in fact statistics is what is being done (for instance some of the unfortunate distractions of flawed reports related to the important question of the magnitude of plausible anthropogenic global warming).

Both model based science and statistics are wonderful fields, but it is important to not receive the results of one when you have paid for the other.

We will pointedly discuss one of the differences. Read more…

Do your tools support production or complexity?

April 16th, 2011 1 comment

Stop and think: which of our tools are making us smarter and which of our tools are making us dumber. In my opinion tools and habits that support complexity literally train us to be dumber. Read more…

Statsmanship: Failure Through Analytics Sabotage

August 16th, 2010 2 comments

Ambitious analytics projects have a tangible risk of failure. Uncertainty breeds anxiety. There are known techniques to lower the uncertainty, guarantee failure and shift the blame onto others. We outline a few proven methods of analytics sabotage and their application. In honor of Steven Potter call this activity “statsmanship” which we define as pursing the goal of making your analytics group cry.


Panthouse-klompen.jpg

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R annoyances

March 20th, 2010 10 comments

Readers returning to our blog will know that Win-Vector LLC is fairly “pro-R.” You can take that to mean “in favor or R” or “professionally using R” (both statements are true). Some days we really don’t feel that way. Read more…

Postel’s Law: Not Sure Who To Be Angry With

February 25th, 2010 Comments off

One of my research interests is finding the principles that underly the management of information, complexity and uncertainty. When something as simple as a web-form is called “technology” it is time to step back and examine your principles. One principle I am not sure about Postel’s law. It doesn’t hold often enough to be relied on and when it fails I am not sure who to be angry with. Read more…

Relative returns: a banker versus trader paradox

January 7th, 2010 1 comment

Quick Joke.

Q: What is the difference between a banker and a trader?
A: A banker will try and tell you a 10% loss followed by a 10% gain is breaking even.

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CRU graph yet again (with R)

December 13th, 2009 3 comments

IowaHawk has a excellent article attempting to reproduce the infamous CRU climate graph using OpenOffice: Fables of the Reconstruction. We thought we would show how to produced similarly bad results using R.
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Categories: Rants, Statistics Tags: , ,

Should your mom use Google search?

July 23rd, 2009 4 comments

Today’s question is: “should your mom use Google search?” It it is a good thing that Google has directly told us that their motto is “don’t be evil,” as their systems are subtle and difficult to evaluate.

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Categories: Opinion, Rants Tags: , ,

Microsoft Store Again

July 21st, 2009 2 comments

Microsoft is once again going to try its hand at retail stores (for example see the following CNET article). From my experience I think this is going to be horrible. But it does not have to be- Microsoft (if it had the will) could produce a great store that is profitable and improves the world. Here is my quick history and wish list.

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Categories: Opinion, Rants Tags: ,

Thievery considered harmful

July 6th, 2009 1 comment

A bit of a tempest in finance news involving accusations of sensitive code stolen from a major trading desk. For emerging details see:

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Categories: Finance, Opinion, Rants Tags: ,